Friday, March 8, 2024

ACROSS THE ZONE OF INTEREST: A 2023 OVERVIEW

When last we spoke I was quizzing you about what we had learned in 2022.  I know it seems like yesterday, while simultaneously feeling like forever ago.  Is forever ago a thing?  I guess it is now.  Forgive me.  After nearly four years I finally succumbed to the dreaded virus.  I can now officially blame it for any mental failings on my part (as opposed to blaming old age).  It had been such a large, unseen part of my life for so long that when it laid its insidious claim on me, I felt little but anticlimactic disappointment and annoyance.  That, along with runny nose, body aches, and general malaise.

But I digress.  I am really here to talk about movies.  Movies are back, you know.  Or haven’t you heard?  Thanks to Barbenheimer the studios realized that audiences will still go to the theaters in droves if inspired by films that aren’t the same old formulaic, tired-and-tested money grubbers with chaotic action but no soul.  We’ll see how long that lasts.  But it was nice while it lasted.

On the whole 2023 was a good year for movies.  But what exactly separates movies that make my year’s best list from those that don’t?  Unlike a stage production, for example, a movie is a singular event.  The writers, directors, actors, designers, and craftspeople have curated each story element, line of dialogue, image and sonic element to a degree that might exasperate the most chronic sufferer of OCD, then preserve it on celluloid or digitally.

What makes a movie great, I would argue, is offering viewers intellectual, emotional and aesthetic space -- the space for interpretation, the space for ambiguity, the space for mystery.  Far too many movies, be they action, drama, comedy or thriller – dictate what we should think, how we should feel, how we should respond.  Great films want their audiences to participate in them, and are humble enough to let each viewer decide exactly how.  And how do great films do that, you ask?  It’s a mystery to me.

Which brings us to my favorite films of the year.  I spill a lot of ink on them below and won’t belabor it here.  Suffice to say each of the movies discussed or listed meet the criteria (to a greater or lesser degree) of a great film.  At least to me.  I hope you enjoy what you read.  But, more importantly, I hope you discover a movie (or two or three) that you wouldn’t otherwise think of watching.  And I hope you watch them.  And I hope you find something in them that speaks to you.  Because how we respond to a movie is an intangible element of the movie itself.  That is what makes movies (or any art form) worthwhile.

Finally, a sincere thanks to my family and friends who tolerate my endless yammering about movies and other things.  A special thanks to Pilar Alessandra, who has been kind enough to give me time on her On The Page Podcast every year for the last 17 years to pontificate on movies with some thoughtful and articulate fellow film fanatics.  And, of course, thanks to anyone reading these words.

Be safe.  Be well.  And, when in doubt, choose kindness.


Brian Pope
March 8, 2024
**************************************************************************************************

THE TOP TEN

(in alphabetical order)


AMERICAN FICTION  Writer/director Cord Jefferson’s gently acerbic adaptation of Percival Everett’s novel Erasure follows Thelonious “Monk” Ellison (Jeffrey Wright, never better), a frustrated black academic and writer of literature who larks a stereotypical Black novel under a pseudonym.  Neither he nor his agent (a delightful John Ortiz) are prepared when the “joke” book becomes an overnight publishing sensation.  No one – not the publishing industry, not awards panels, not Hollywood, not even Monk himself -- is let off the hook in this insightful comedy.  The excellent ensemble includes Tracee Ellis Ross, Erika Alexander, Leslie Uggams, Issa Rae, Keith David and Sterling K. Brown.

ANATOMY OF A FALL  Part family drama, part courtroom drama, and all mystery, director Justine Triet and her co-writer Arthur Hirari’s absorbing film follows the trial of successful writer Sandra Voyter (the stunning Sandra Huller) accused of pushing her husband to his death out the window of their remote chalet in the French Alps.  Caught in the midst of this family tragedy is their young son Daniel (played by the equally remarkable Milo Machado-Graner) who has limited eyesight due to an accident.  Though the trial finishes with a rendered verdict, Triet never shows us what actually happened.  We are left to ponder the truth for ourselves, unknowable as that may be.

GODZILLA MINUS ONE  In writer/director Takashi Yamazaki’s thrilling new entry into the Godzilla franchise he focuses on the survivor’s guilt of a Japanese kamikaze pilot who faked engine problems to avoid certain death in the waning days of World War II.  As he struggles to put his life back together in Tokyo, a newly radiated kaiju rises from the ocean depths and makes its way to the traumatized islands.  In this adaptation Godzilla represents all the post-war and post-nuclear anxieties of Japan.  And there is no benevolent kaiju to save the day.  The humans must be resourceful and more than a little lucky to stop the unstoppable Godzilla.  The film's characters are surprisingly rich, and the action scenes thrilling.

THE HOLDOVERS  Over Christmas break at a remote prep school outside of Boston, cantankerous ancient history teacher Paul Hunham (a perfect Paul Giamatti) must chaperone willful, abrasive student Angus Tully (an impressive Dominic Sessa) left behind by his mother and stepfather while the rest of the students and most of the staff enjoy the holiday.  Only the school cook Mary Lamb (the remarkable Da’Vine Joy Randolph) remains, grieving over the death of her soldier son in Vietnam (it is 1970).  How these disparate characters deal with each other is an old-fashioned joy, thanks to David Hemingson’s hilarious, warmhearted script.  Director Alexander Payne stages his scenes in the ‘70s style and never allows the film to veer into sentiment.

KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON  Director Martin Scorsese and co-writer Eric Roth transform David Grann’s non-fiction FBI procedural into a harrowing drama about the Osage murders in the early 1900s.  Ernest Burkhart (Leonardo DiCaprio) arrives in the oil-rich Osage territory and is taken under the wing of influential William Hale (Robert De Niro).  Hale sets him up as a driver to wealthy native Molly (Lily Gladstone).  Ernest and Molly fall in love and are married.  But the Osage are dying violent deaths, and their vast wealth gradually transferred to white husbands or financial caretakers.  DiCaprio is very good, and De Niro is better.  But Gladstone carries the film, speaking volumes with a glance.  The late Robbie Robertson’s provides the film’s evocative score.

OPPENHEIMER  In adapting American Prometheus by Kai Bird and Martin J. Sherman, director Christopher Nolan divides his story into two timelines.  The first concerns Robert Oppenheimer’s (Cillian Murphy) key role in the development of the atomic bomb, and the second concerns former member of the Atomic Energy Commission Lewis Strauss’ (Robert Downey, Jr.) attempt to destroy Oppenheimer’s professional reputation for a perceived slight.  The film looks and sounds great (cinematography by Hoyte Van Hoytema and score by Ludwig Goransson) and moves at a clip without confusing timelines (editing by Jennifer Lame).  Murphy and Downey, Jr. are excellent, with Emily Blunt superb as Oppenheimer’s tough, shrewd wife, Kitty.  An absorbing and cautionary recounting of the birth of the atomic bomb.

PAST LIVES   Have you ever wondered what happened to your childhood love?  Or what might happen if they were to come back into your life?  I know I have.  Writer/director Celine Song ponders just such a scenario in this gentle meditation on the path not taken.  Korean tweens Nora and Hae Sung have an intense kid crush, then Nora’s family moves to North America.  Twelve years later the two (played as adults by Greta Lee and Teo Yoo) find each other on Skype but neither commits to meeting.  After a twelve-year silence Hae Sung visits Nora in New York, but she has married Arthur (John Magaro).  The reunion has repercussions for all three.  Lee, Yoo and Magaro are uniformly excellent, and Song’s insightful script moves imperceptibly to a heartbreaking finish.

POOR THINGS  Greek provocateur Yorgos Lanthimos directs Tony McNamara’s delirious adaptation of Alasdair Gray’s novel, a feminist riff on the Frankenstein myth.  Bella (Emma Stone) is a reanimated woman made by Godwin Baxter (Willem Dafoe) and betrothed to protegee Max McCandles (Ramy Youssef).  Before settling down Bella chooses to abscond with cad Duncan Wedderburn (Mark Ruffalo) for travel, food and hedonism, until the cruel vagaries of life impose themselves.  Stone is stupendous as the willful free spirit, Dafoe is perfection as the deformed father figure, and Rufallo is richly ridiculous as the outmatched Lothario.  A wondrous steampunk production design draws us, like Bella, into this strange new world we can’t help but want to explore in all its dreadful beauty.

SPIDER-MAN: ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE  Not even the exceptional SPIDER-MAN: INTO THE SPIDER-VERSE can prepare you for the scope and ambition of this superior sequel.  Writers Phil Lord, Christopher Miller and Dave Callaham pack more ideas into this animated feature than can be effectively recounted here.  Yet somehow directors Joachim Dos Santos, Kemp Powers and Justin K. Thompson hold this sprawling epic together while maintaining a brisk pace that never shortchanges character development.  Standouts in the stellar vocal cast include Shameik Moore, Hailee Steinfeld, Bryan Tyree Henry, Luna Lauren Velez, Jake Johnson and Mahershala Ali.  I speak as a film lover and not a Marvel acolyte -- this movie is truly marvelous.

THE ZONE OF INTEREST  Writer/director Jonathan Glazer’s austere adaptation of Martin Amis’s novel is a harrowing Holocaust film that never witnesses atrocity, only its discarded remnants.  On the surface, Rudolf and Hedwig Hoss (Christian Friedel and Sandra Huller) have a bucolic life with their children – swimming in a nearby river, celebrating birthdays, and having friends over for afternoon tea.  We soon discover their home is yards away from the Auschwitz concentration camp, which Rudolf runs as commandant.  We never see inside the camp itself, but dog barks, clangs of metal, shouts, and occasional gunfire provide a pervasive aural background.  Being passive observers we feel complicit in the horrors we know are occurring just outside the film's vision, and the effect on this viewer was corrosive.  A must see.

Runners Up

(in alphabetical order)

ARE YOU THERE GOD? IT’S ME, MARGARET.
BARBIE
MAY DECEMBER
YOU HURT MY FEELINGS

Honorable Mentions:  BOBI WINE: THE PEOPLE’S PRESIDENT; JOHN WICK: CHAPTER 4; NYAD; RUSTIN; SAINT OMER; SALTBURN; SHOWING UP; THEATER CAMP

Thursday, March 7, 2024

THE POPE'S 2023 OSCAR® PREDICTIONS

Another Oscar® broadcast is barreling down upon us, so get out your pencils as we match wits with the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.  This year has a number of categories which feel inevitable, yet several major categories are surprisingly competitive.  I’ll do my best to provide guidance to help you with your Oscars® pool.

Note the ceremony is being broadcast one hour earlier this year at 4:00 PDT.

Below are my predictions for this year’s Oscars®.  To assist with your own predictions, I’ve created what I call a Prediction Confidence Indicator (PCI) from 1 to 5.  1=Not confident, 2=Somewhat confident, 3=Confident, 4=Very confident, 5=All but certain.

And the nominees are:

Best Picture:

AMERICAN FICTION
ANATOMY OF A FALL
BARBIE
THE HOLDOVERS
KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON
MAESTRO
OPPENHEIMER
PAST LIVES
POOR THINGS
THE ZONE OF INTEREST

I am very confident OPPENHEIMER will win Best Picture this year.  It checks all the Academy’s boxes.  Expansive in scope and ideas.  Every element exceptional.  That said, due to ranked choice voting in this category, there is a remote chance the film with the second most 1st Place votes sneaks in for a win.  We saw it with SPOTLIGHT in 2015 (edging out THE REVENANT).  We saw it with MOONLIGHT in 2016 (edging out LA LA LAND).  Though a long shot here, keep your eye on THE HOLDOVERS.  In any other year (in the 1970s especially) this heartfelt dramedy would have cleaned up.  Another possibility is POOR THINGS, an outrageous comedy from Greek provocateur Yorgos Lanthimos.  While it has a chance to win technical awards and possibly Emma Stone’s second Oscar®, it may be too “out there” even for the most open minded Academy voters.  Though KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON shouldn’t be dismissed, my sense is that a possible nod for Lily Gladstone’s anchoring performance may be its best shot.  I would love to see ANATOMY OF A FALL win.  Like OPPENHEIMER it has a lot on its mind, but its scope is intimate and interior, with powerhouse performances.  It has a chance in the Original Screenplay category, but Best Picture seems like a real long shot.

Should Win:    ANATOMY OF A FALL
Will Win:         OPPENHEIMER (PCI 4)
Overlooked:    MAY DECEMBER

Best Director:

Jonathan Glazer, THE ZONE OF INTEREST
Yorgos Lanthimos, POOR THINGS
Christopher Nolan, OPPENHEIMER
Martin Scorsese, KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON
Justine Triet, ANATOMY OF A FALL

Despite the Best Director category being stacked with exceptional directors and exceptional films, Christopher Nolan’s victory for OPPENHEIMER is pretty much a given.  It’s a shame the Academy can’t give statues to them all.

Should Win:    Justine Triet, ANATOMY OF A FALL
Will Win:         Christopher Nolan, OPPENHEIMER (PCI 5)
Overlooked:    Greta Gerwig, BARBIE

Best Actress:

Annette Bening, NYAD
Lily Gladstone, KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON
Sandra Huller, ANATOMY OF A FALL
Carey Mulligan, MAESTRO
Emma Stone, POOR THINGS

And so we come to the first toss-up category — Best Actress.  There isn’t a subpar performance in the bunch, but the Oscar® will likely go to either Lily Gladstone for KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON or Emma Stone for POOR THINGS.  Pros for Gladstone:  (a) She’s the first Native American nominated in this category; and (b) Her role is the center of gravity for the film.  Con for Gladstone:  Her performance is subtle.  Pro for Stone:  Hers is a showpiece role with lots of juicy comedy and wild behavior.  Con for Stone:  She already won Best Actress for LA LA LAND in 2016.  If you want to go the way of the contrarian, I’d recommend picking Sandra Huller (my favorite) for ANATOMY OF A FALL.  If Gladstone and Stone were to split the vote, the most likely benefactor would be Huller.

Should Win:    Sandra Huller, ANATOMY OF A FALL
Will Win:         Lily Gladstone, KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON (PCI 1)
Overlooked:    Margot Robbie, BARBIE

Best Actor:

Bradley Cooper, MAESTRO
Colman Domingo, RUSTIN
Paul Giamatti, THE HOLDOVERS
Cillian Murphy, OPPENHEIMER
Jeffrey Wright, AMERICAN FICTION

With barely a breath we land on the second toss-up category — Best Actor.  In this instance the award will likely go to either Cillian Murphy for OPPENHEIMER or Paul Giamatti for THE HOLDOVERS.  Giamatti was overlooked for exceptional performances in SIDEWAYS and AMERICAN SPLENDOR.  The Academy may decide it’s time to remedy those oversights.  Murphy carries the year’s most lauded film on his narrow shoulders.  He may ride OPPENHEIMER’s deserving coattails to victory.  Contrarians hoping for a split vote between Giamatti and Murphy would do well to consider Jeffrey Wright in AMERICAN FICTION, a consistently terrific actor finally getting a role worthy of his talent.    

Should Win:    Paul Giamatti, THE HOLDOVERS
Will Win:         Cillian Murphy, OPPENHEIMER (PCI 2)
Overlooked:    Leonardo DiCaprio, KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON

Best Supporting Actress:

Emily Blunt, OPPENHEIMER
Danielle Brooks, THE COLOR PURPLE
America Ferrera, BARBIE
Jodie Foster, NYAD
Da’Vine Joy Randolph, THE HOLDOVERS

Da’Vine Joy Randolph will win for THE HOLDOVERS.  Hers is a note-perfect performance.  Emily Blunt stands out in a male-dominated cast in OPPENHEIMER, Danielle Brooks steals the show in THE COLOR PURPLE, America Ferrara is grounding as a struggling single mom in BARBIE, and Jodie Foster is terrific in the underrated NYAD.  As remarkable as these other nominees are, this will not be their year.

Should and Will Win:       Da’Vine Joy Randolph (PCI 5)
Overlooked:                    Julianne Moore, MAY SEPTEMBER
                                        Rachel McAdams, ARE YOU THERE GOD? IT’S ME,
                                                                            MARGARET.

Best Supporting Actor:

Sterling K. Brown, AMERICAN FICTION
Robert De Niro, KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON
Robert Downey Jr., OPPENHEIMER
Ryan Gosling, BARBIE
Mark Ruffalo, POOR THINGS

Another category with an abundance of riches.  Sterling K. Brown is as funny as he’s ever been in AMERICAN FICTION, Mark Ruffalo plays the ultimate cad to whiny perfection in POOR THINGS, and Robert De Niro gives his finest performance in over a decade in KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON.  But the contest, such as it is, will be between Ryan Gosling as the guileless Ken in BARBIE and Robert Downey, Jr. as the shifty, spiteful Lewis Strauss in OPPENHEIMER.  My money is on Downey, Jr., but I will root for Gosling.  His performance was Kenough.

Should Win:     Ryan Gosling, BARBIE
Will Win:          Robert Downey Jr., OPPENHEIMER (PCI 4)

Best Adapted Screenplay:

Greta Gerwig & Noah Baumbach, BARBIE
Jonathan Glazer, THE ZONE OF INTEREST
Cord Jefferson, AMERICAN FICTION
Tony McNamara, POOR THINGS
Christopher Nolan, OPPENHEIMER

Jonathan Glazer’s THE ZONE OF INTEREST, about the “bucolic” life of a Nazi family living in the literal shadow of Auschwitz, is an important film and worth seeing.  It’s a tough sell for a win though.  Greta Gerwig & Noah Baumbach’s delightful BARBIE is uneven at times but sticks the landing.  I suspect it will have to settle for all the money it’s made.  As terrific and worthy as Tony McNamara’s POOR THINGS is, I suspect it’s glorious strangeness will prevent it from winning here (see above).  If OPPENHEIMER is the Oscar® juggernaut it appears to be, Christopher Nolan will take home his third statue.  However, I’m thinking now (thanks to Pilar Alessandra for prompting this thought, and for pointing out that Nolan’s script benefited from exceptional work by the film editor) that the film’s overall success may handicap it in this category, opening the door for Cord Jefferson’s sharply observed AMERICAN FICTION.  A risky choice, but let’s go for it.  For a more wide-ranging discussion of the Adapted Screenplay nominees, please listen to Pilar Alessandra’s On The Page Oscar® 2024 podcast.  It’s not often that our discussion alters my opinion, but as you will note this year in this category, it did.

Should and Will Win:     Cord Jefferson, AMERICAN FICTION (PCI 1)
Overlooked:                   Kelly Fremon Craig, ARE YOU THERE GOD? IT’S ME,
                                                                            MARGARET.

Best Original Screenplay:

Samy Burch and Alex Mechanik, MAY DECEMBER
Bradley Cooper and Josh Singer, MAESTRO
David Hemingson, THE HOLDOVERS
Celine Song, PAST LIVES
Justine Triet and Arthur Harari, ANATOMY OF A FALL

Bradley Cooper and Josh Singer’s MAESTRO, about the life of American composer Leonard Bernstein, suffers from too many biopic problems to be in serious contention.  Samy Burch and Alex Mechanik’s MAY DECEMBER, with its blend of domestic melodrama and Hollywood tabloid, has an unusual tone and sordid subject matter which may ultimately turn voters off.  The remaining three choices are unimpeachable.  Celine Song’s gentle and probing PAST LIVES, explores choices imposed and made, with an ending that quietly devastates.  David Hemingson’s THE HOLDOVERS, set in a prep school over winter break, throws together prickly characters each in existential crisis and comes away with a heartwarming comedy-drama short on sentiment and long on humanity.  Justine Triet and Arthur Harari’s absorbing and suspenseful mystery ANATOMY OF A FALL follows the trial of a wife suspected of pushing her husband to his death out a window.  Though these last three are all exceptional, the latter is my favorite with its refusal to spoon-feed us a pat solution.  For a more wide-ranging discussion of the Original Screenplay nominees, please listen to Pilar Alessandra’s On The Page Oscar® 2024 podcast.

Should and Will Win:     Justine Triet and Arthur Harari, ANATOMY OF A FALL (PCI 2)
Overlooked:                   Nicole Holofcener, YOU HURT MY FEELINGS

Best Animated Film:

THE BOY AND THE HERON
ELEMENTAL
NIMONA
ROBOT DREAMS
SPIDER-MAN: ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE

Will THE BOY AND THE HERON be Hayao Miyazaki’s last film?  It’s rumored to be and, from what I hear, it’s beautiful.  This could tip the Academy into voting his way.  Otherwise the likely winner is the ambitious, exciting sequel SPIDER-MAN: ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE.  I did see this and can confirm it’s marvelous.  I’ll go with the devil I know.

Should and Will Win:    SPIDER-MAN: ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE (PCI 3)

Best International Feature:

IO CAPITANO (Italy)
PERFECT DAYS (Japan)
SOCIETY OF THE SNOW (Spain)
THE TEACHER’S LOUNGE (Germany)
THE ZONE OF INTEREST (United Kingdom)

THE ZONE OF INTEREST is the only film in this category nominated for Best Picture and other awards.  It would be astonishing if it didn’t win here.  It’s also the only one I saw, and it is unforgettable.

Should and Will Win:    THE ZONE OF INTEREST (PCI 5)

Best Documentary Feature:

BOBI WINE: THE PEOPLE’S PRESIDENT
THE ETERNAL MEMORY
FOUR DAUGHTERS
TO KILL A TIGER
20 DAYS IN MARIUPOL

The only nominee I saw was BOBI WINE, about a musician running a populist presidential campaign in Uganda against long odds and a corrupt opponent.  Not a feel good movie, but an inspirational one.  20 DAYS IN MARIUPOL deals with the Ukrainian war and is the most likely winner, but FOUR DAUGHTERS could sneak in a victory.  

Will Win:    20 DAYS IN MARIUPOL (PCI 3)

Best Cinematography:

Edward Lachman, EL CONDE
Matthew Libatique, MAESTRO
Rodrigo Prieto, KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON
Robbie Ryan, POOR THINGS
Hoyte Van Hoytema, OPPENHEIMER

I saw every nominee but for EL CONDE.  A very strong category.  I lean towards OPPENHEIMER not the least because the film is the frontrunner for Best Picture.  Other possible upset winners would be POOR THINGS or KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON.

Should and Will Win:    Hoyte Van Hoytema, OPPENHEIMER (PC 4)

Best Film Editing:

Jennifer Lame, OPPENHEIMER
Yorgos Mavropsaridis, POOR THINGS
Thelma Schoonmaker, KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON
Laurent Senechal, ANATOMY OF A FALL
Kevin Tent, THE HOLDOVERS

OPPENHEIMER is far and away the best edited film of the year.  In any other year, ANATOMY OF A FALL might have won, but this is not any other year.

Should and Will Win:    Jennifer Lame, OPPENHEIMER (PC 4)

Best Costume Design:

Jacqueline Durran, BARBIE
Ellen Mirojnick, OPPENHEIMER
Holly Waddington, POOR THINGS
Jacqueline West, KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON
Janty Yates & David Crossman, NAPOLEON

Here’s my thinking.  Because I suspect POOR THINGS will lose out in the Best Actress category, the Academy will be looking for a technical award to give it.  I’m guessing either Costume Design or Production Design.  But which?  Maybe both?  I thought POOR THINGS’s costumes were superior but was leaning toward BARBIE for this one.  Now I think POOR THINGS.

Should and Will Win:    Holly Waddington, POOR THINGS (PC 1)

Best Production Design:

BARBIE
KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON
NAPOLEON
OPPENHEIMER
POOR THINGS

I’m going to predict POOR THINGS winning here for its delirious steampunk look (following my reasoning above).  Still BARBIE has a legitimate chance here too.  No choice but to commit.

Should and Will Win:    POOR THINGS (PC 2)

Best Original Score:

Jerkin Fendrix, POOR THINGS
Ludwig Goransson, OPPENHEIMER
Laura Karpman, AMERICAN FICTION
Robbie Robertson, KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON
John Williams, INDIANA JONES AND THE DIAL OF DESTINY

You might think the late Robbie Robertson would be the sentimental favorite for his evocative KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON score.  Sentiment may still will out, but Ludwig Goransson’s equally evocative score for OPPENHEIMER seems more likely to ride the film’s wave.  Unless the Academy recalls they give Goransson a statue a few years back for BLACK PANTHER.

Should Win:    Robbie Robertson, KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON
Will Win:         Ludwig Goransson, OPPENHEIMER (PC 3)

Best Original Song:

“The Fire Inside,” FLAMIN’ HOT
“I’m Just Ken,” BARBIE
“It Never Went Away,” AMERICAN SYMPHONY
“Wahzhazhe (A Song For My People),” KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON
“What Was I Made For?,” BARBIE

It’s inevitable that BARBIE will win in this category.  The power ballad “I’m Just Ken” gets points as an ear worm and for Ryan Gosling’s committed performance.  However, “What Was I Made For?” helped the film stick its landing and deserves the victory here.

Should and Will Win:    “What Was I Made For?”, BARBIE (PC 4)

Best Sound:

THE CREATOR
MAESTRO
MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - DEAD RECKONING PART ONE
OPPENHEIMER
THE ZONE OF INTEREST

The subtle and pervasive sound design of THE ZONE OF INTEREST provides much of the film’s corrosive and corrupt atmosphere.  OPPENHEIMER’s sound is also excellent, but haven’t we given this film enough?

Should Win:    THE ZONE OF INTEREST
Will Win:         OPPENHEIMER (PC 3)

Best Visual Effects:

THE CREATOR
GODZILLA MINUS ONE
GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL. 3
MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - DEAD RECKONING PART ONE
NAPOLEON

Compared to its competitors GODZILLA MINUS ONE’s budget is modest.  And yet the effects literally took my breath away.  Also it’s a terrific movie.  THE CREATOR has a chance to squeak in, but I think the Academy is going to recognize the more-bang-for-the-buck contender here.

Should and Will Win:    GODZILLA MINUS ONE (PC 3)

Best Makeup:

GOLDA
MAESTRO
OPPENHEIMER
POOR THINGS
SOCIETY OF THE SNOW

I found MAESTRO’s makeup effects self-conscious.  Whereas POOR THINGS’s makeup worked well in the story.  Still, the Academy will want to give something to MAESTRO, and this is likely it.

Should Win:    POOR THINGS
Will Win:         MAESTRO (PC 3)

Best Documentary Short Subject:

THE ABC’s OF BOOK BANNING
THE BARBER OF LITTLE ROCK
ISLAND IN BETWEEN
THE LAST REPAIR SHOP
NAI NAI & WAI PO

I saw all these shorts.  My favorite was THE LAST REPAIR SHOP, about a musical instrument repair shop for underprivileged Los Angeles Unified School District students.  The likely winner is THE ABC’s OF BOOK BANNING, which is timely and quite upsetting.

Should Win:    THE LAST REPAIR SHOP
Will Win:         THE ABC’s OF BOOK BANNING (PC 3)

Best Animated Short Subject:

LETTER TO A PIG
NINETY-FIVE SENSES
OUR UNIFORM
PACHYDERME
WAR IS OVER! INSPIRED BY THE MUSIC OF JOHN & YOKO

I saw three of the five, and all had their issues and challenges.  WAR IS OVER!, set in the trenches of World War I, felt a bit too simplistic and idealistic for my taste.  NINETY-FIVE SENSES, about a death row inmate reminiscing about his life, was interesting before it got condescending.  LETTER TO A PIG, about a Holocaust survivor who reads the titular letter to some high school children, is fascinating stylistically but also confusing.  Of those I’d prefer the latter win because its animation was truly experimental.

Should Win:    LETTER TO A PIG
Will Win:         WAR IS OVER! INSPIRED BY THE MUSIC OF JOHN & YOKO (PC 1)

Best Live Action Short Subject:

THE AFTER
INVINCIBLE
KNIGHT OF FORTUNE
RED, WHITE AND BLUE
THE WONDERFUL STORY OF HENRY SUGAR

Again I saw three of the five.  THE AFTER is very well acted but far too indulgent.  KNIGHT OF FORTUNE is a slow and odd foreign language film about two men dealing with grief.  THE WONDERFUL STORY OF HENRY SUGAR, based on Roald Dahl’s story, was written and directed by Wes Anderson, and is a bizarre delight from beginning to end.

Should and Will Win:    THE WONDERFUL STORY OF HENRY SUGAR (PC 4)

Friday, March 1, 2024

THE POPE'S PICKS AT ON THE PAGE (OSCAR® 2024 PODCAST)

Once again Michael Musa and I join writer Alex Troxel and screenwriting teacher/author Pilar Alessandra at her On the Page podcast to discuss the 2023 Oscar-nominated screenplays.  As always the conversation was lively, helped in no small part by the delicious Manhattans which Michael contributed.  I hope the passionate pitches inspire you to seek out some of these nominated films (and perhaps others that are mentioned) and give them a look.

The podcast may be found via one of the four links below:

 
Enjoy!

Monday, April 4, 2022

THE LIGHT AT THE END: A 2021 OVERVIEW

When last we spoke COVID-19 vaccines were just being introduced, and the possibility of returning to a more normal life glittered tantalizing at the end of a dark tunnel.  One year later the notion of life going back to the way it was has faded somewhat and the idea of perpetual coping and adjustments has gradually settled in, whether we like it or not.  How can we recover from trauma and grief when we're never sure if the light at the end comes from the sun or another train?

For many, myself included, movies provided essential relief from the isolation of the pandemic’s first year.  Now, as we move into the pandemic’s third year, I find myself expecting more from movies than simply being there.  This year’s crop felt more unsatisfying than last year’s crop.  Perhaps for the reason of higher expectations. Nevertheless, there were several exceptional films and, not surprising, the best of them dealt with characters or communities dealing (or not) with trauma and grief.

Far and away my favorite this year is Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s dreamy and profound DRIVE MY CAR.  Don’t be put off by its three-hour length or the subtitles, this absorbing story about the power of art and storytelling to heal will draw you in and carry you effortlessly to its devastating finale.  Benedict Cumberbatch’s self-loathing cowboy in THE POWER OF THE DOG, Jane Campion’s gorgeous but unsettling western, tries and fails to cope with repressed desires, leading to tragedy.  It may be the year’s most difficult but also one of its most rewarding films.  The year’s most exuberant film is easily Ahmir “Questlove” Thompson’s documentary SUMMER OF SOUL (OR, WHEN THE REVOLUTION COULD NOT BE TELEVISED) about the 1969 Harlem Cultural Festival, in which a traumatized community copes with the turbulence of the civil rights era through dazzling musical performances.  You could also do worse than Steven Spielberg’s surprisingly fresh take on WEST SIDE STORY and a little film featuring Nicolas Cage and a truffle pig.

Below is a complete list of my favorite films of the past year.  And a handful of stinkers.  I hope you are able to make it back into the movie theaters in the coming year.  I have now seen several on the big screen and must admit I have missed the experience (except for the ads and the endless previews).

Until we speak next year stay safe and hope to see you in real life soon.

Brian Pope
April 4, 2022

******************************************************************************************

THE BEST OF 2021

THE TOP THREE
(in alphabetical order)

DRIVE MY CAR  Ryusuke Hamaguchi and Takamasa Oe transform Haruki Murakami’s short story into an epic film about dealing with untenable grief through art, specifically in the rehearsal and production of Anton Chekhov’s play Uncle Vanya.  The film fuses Murakami’s tone with Chekhov’s themes beautifully to create the year’s most moving and powerful meditation on the importance of persistence and the necessity of connection.

THE POWER OF THE DOG Adapter/director Jane Campion’s tragedy of repression in the American West offers stark, beautiful vistas, an unnerving score, and two of the year’s finest performances from Benedict Cumberbatch and Kodi Smit-McPhee.  A harsh yet compassionate, spare yet eloquent critique of the myths of frontier life and an examination of the toxic masculinity embraced by a deeply closeted cowboy.

SUMMER OF SOUL (OR, WHEN THE REVOLUTION COULD NOT BE TELEVISED) Overshadowed by Woodstock and the Rolling Stones’ Altamont free concert, the 1969 Harlem Cultural Festival vanished from history until Ahmir “Questlove” Thompson assembled this never-before-seen footage with context from the turbulent Civil Rights era and turned it into one of the great concert films.  Highlights include electrifying performances from Stevie Wonder, Nina Simone, and Sly and the Family Stone.

THE BEST OF THE REST OF THE TOP TEN
(in alphabetical order)

FLEE  A touching foreign language animated film that follows a young Afghan refugee on his harrowing journey to Denmark by way of Russia and Estonia.

THE GREEN KNIGHT  Writer/director David Lowry’s stylish retelling of Sir Gawain and the Green Knight manages to make failure heroic.

LICORICE PIZZA Paul Thomas Anderson’s giddy and entertaining tale of the San Fernando Valley set in 1973 features a glorious soundtrack and what should be a star-making turn from a resplendent Alana Haim.

NIGHTMARE ALLEY Bradley Cooper gives one of his best performances in this grim, cynical story of a transient carnival worker turned con artist who falls for a femme fatale in the guise of Cate Blanchette.

PIG Nicolas Cage stars in this unexpectedly moving story of a reclusive truffle hunter and his prize pig, which, thanks to the deft, delicate touch of writer/director Michael Sarnoski, becomes modest movie magic.

WEST SIDE STORY Tony Kushner’s socially relevant adaptation gives Steven Spielberg a good reason to remake this musical chestnut.  Rachel Zegler, David Alvarez and, especially, Ariana DeBose are excellent.

THE WORST PERSON IN THE WORLD (VERDENS VERSTE MENNESKE)  The mercurial Renate Reinsve dominates in Joachim Trier’s exuberant and affecting comedy drama about an elusive free spirit set in modern Oslo.

Honorable Mentions:  BEING THE RICARDOS; THE CARD COUNTER; CODA; THE DRY; KING RICHARD; THE LOST DAUGHTER; THE NIGHT HOUSE; ROADRUNNER: A FILM ABOUT ANTHONY BOURDAIN

 

THE BOTTOM THREE
(in alphabetical order)

DON’T LOOK UP  A dark comedy that fails at every level.  It’s not funny and misses of all its satirical targets. 

HALLOWEEN KILLS  A catastrophically bad sequel to the surprisingly effective 2018 reboot. 

SPENCER  Kristen Stewart can’t save this Princess Diana biopic that feels as if it had been directed by a synthetic life form.

 

Thursday, March 24, 2022

THE POPE'S 2021 OSCAR® PREDICTIONS

 

Though movie theaters have opened up, it feels even stranger this year to be preparing for the Oscars® than last year in the dark heart of a pandemic.  (Who are we kidding? We’re still in a pandemic, we just have better options.)  Nevertheless, it’s time to match wits with the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.  Below are my predictions for the 2021 Oscars®.  To assist with your own predictions, I’ve created what I call a Prediction Confidence Indicator (PCI) from 1 to 5.  1=Not confident, 2=Somewhat confident, 3=Confident, 4=Very confident, 5=All but certain.

 

And the nominees are:

 

Best Picture:

 

BELFAST

CODA

DON’T LOOK UP

DRIVE MY CAR

DUNE

KING RICHARD

LICORICE PIZZA

NIGHTMARE ALLEY

THE POWER OF THE DOG

WEST SIDE STORY

 

Up until the Producers Guild gave its top prize to CODA it was conventional wisdom that THE POWER OF THE DOG would win Best Picture.  Now all that has changed, and CODA is now running neck-in-neck with Jane Campion’s difficult western and will likely win.  Though even that’s less than certain.  In hindsight this switch in favor seems inevitable.  THE POWER OF THE DOG is a brilliant, prickly, challenging picture.  CODA is very much a feel-good/tear-jerking comedy drama with touching performances about the struggles of a hearing child who lives with deaf parents and a deaf brother.  In the end I suspect the Academy® will congratulate itself on rewarding a movie that makes its members feel virtuous in their decision.  This may sound callous but isn’t meant to be.  I like CODA.  It’s a good movie.  I would argue, however, that it’s not a great movie.  And it certainly isn’t the best movie on the list.  That would be DRIVE MY CAR.

 

Should Win:     DRIVE MY CAR

Will Win:          CODA (PCI 2)

 

Best Director:

 

Paul Thomas Anderson, LICORICE PIZZA

Kenneth Branagh, BELFAST

Jane Campion, THE POWER OF THE DOG

Ryusuke Hamaguchi, DRIVE MY CAR

Steven Spielberg, WEST SIDE STORY

 

Because CODA’s director Sian Heder was not nominated in this category, the Academy® will reward Jane Campion here.  And, frankly, she deserves it.  The film’s pace and tone is a singular, visionary feat.  If there were to be an upset it would likely be Kenneth Branagh for BELFAST (the least deserving nominee in this category) or Steven Spielberg for WEST SIDE STORY (unlikely).

 

Should and Will Win:   Jane Campion, THE POWER OF THE DOG (PCI 3)

Overlooked:    David Lowery, THE GREEN KNIGHT

 

Best Actress:

 

Jessica Chastain, THE EYES OF TAMMY FAYE

Olivia Colman, THE LOST DAUGHTER

Penelope Cruz, PARALLEL MOTHERS

Nicole Kidman, BEING THE RICARDOS

Kristen Stewart, SPENCER

 

There are decent arguments to be made for any of the actresses in this category.  The always underrated Kristen Stewart is quite good in the bad SPENCER. Nicole Kidman mostly succeeds as Lucille Ball in BEING THE RICARDOS, but the performance feels less than Oscar® worthy.  I’ve heard great things about Penelope Cruz in PARALLEL MOTHERS but haven’t yet seen it.  The most likely winners, Jessica Chastain in THE EYES OF TAMMY FAYE and Olivia Colman in THE LOST DAUGHTER, deliver top grade work.  Chastain is overdue, so I will give it to her this year.  I think the Academy® will too.

 

Should and Will Win:   Jessica Chastain, THE EYES OF TAMMY FAYE (PCI 4)

Overlooked:              Renate Reinsve, THE WORST PERSON IN THE WORLD

 

Best Actor:

 

Javier Bardem, BEING THE RICARDOS

Benedict Cumberbatch, THE POWER OF THE DOG

Andrew Garfield, TICK, TICK… BOOM!

Will Smith, KING RICHARD

Denzel Washington, THE TRAGEDY OF MACBETH

 

There is really no question as to who should win in this category.  Benedict Cumberbatch in THE POWER OF THE DOG delivers -- fearlessly.  But this will be Will Smith’s year.  He’s as good as he’s ever been in KING RICHARD, but his performance lacks the range and ruthlessness of Cumberbatch’s.  Still you can’t fault the Academy®.  And if you want to win your Oscar® pool, failing to choose Smith could be fatal.

 

Should Win:     Benedict Cumberbatch, THE POWER OF THE DOG

Will Win:          Will Smith, KING RICHARD (PCI 5)

Overlooked:    Hidetoshi Nishijima, DRIVE MY CAR

 

Best Supporting Actress:

 

Jessie Buckley, THE LOST DAUGHTER

Ariana DeBose, WEST SIDE STORY

Judi Dench, BELFAST

Kirsten Dunst, THE POWER OF THE DOG

Aunjanue Ellis, KING RICHARD

 

I was happy to see Aunjanue Ellis get recognized for her exceptional support in KING RICHARD.  Likewise, Jessie Buckley paired beautifully with Colman in THE LOST DAUGHTER.  Kirsten Dunst held her own and then some against Cumberbatch and Smit-McPhee in THE POWER OF THE DOG.  And Judi Dench got nominated (again!) for a role that felt insubstantial in BELFAST.  I have to go with Ariana DeBose in WEST SIDE STORY.  She’s a true triple threat, and she will take home gold.

 

Should and Will Win:   Ariana DeBose, WEST SIDE STORY (PCI 5)

Overlooked:    Toko Miura, DRIVE MY CAR

 

Best Supporting Actor:

 

Ciaran Hinds, BELFAST

Troy Kotsur, CODA

Jesse Plemons, THE POWER OF THE DOG

J.K. Simmons, BEING THE RICARDOS

Kodi Smit-McPhee, THE POWER OF THE DOG

 

Much like the best actor category, one performance towers above the others but will not win.  That belongs to Kodi Smit-McPhee in THE POWER OF THE DOG.  His was so subtle I wanted to re-watch the film after it ended to see how he (and writer/director Jane Campion) pulled the twist ending off.  However, Troy Kotsur will win for his funny and heartbreaking role as a deaf father trying to do right by his hearing daughter in CODA.  No complaints.  Apples and oranges.  Sinewy versus blunt.  It’s a shame both can’t win.  Well, I suppose they could, but that seems unlikely.

 

Should Win:     Kodi Smit-McPhee, THE POWER OF THE DOG

Will Win:          Troy Kosur, CODA (PCI 4)

Overlooked:    Anders Danielsen Lie, THE WORST PERSON IN THE WORLD

 

Best Adapted Screenplay:

 

Jane Campion, THE POWER OF THE DOG

Maggie Gyllenhaal, THE LOST DAUGHTER

Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Takamasa Oe, DRIVE MY CAR

Sian Heder, CODA

Jon Spaihts, Denis Villeneuve and Eric Roth, DUNE

 

Here we go again.  Up until the WGA gave CODA its nod for best adapted screenplay, THE POWER OF THE DOG was the frontrunner.  Jane Campion was not nominated (or eligible) for the WGA award for jurisdictional reasons, but I believe, for similar reasons as discussed in Best Picture category, that the Academy® will give the award to writer/director Sian Heder.  In my prediction universe they already gave the directing award to Campion, so they’ll share the love.  I would recognize Campion before Heder, but Ryusuke Hamaguchi and Takamas Oe deserve the award for DRIVE MY CAR, the expansive and powerful adaptation of the Haruki Murakami short story.  For a more detailed discussion of the adapted screenplays, check out this year’s Oscar®-themed ON THE PAGE podcast with screenwriting teacher Pilar Alessandra, writer and podcaster Alexander Troxel, the inimitable Michael Musa, and me.

 

Should Win:     Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Takamasa Oe, DRIVE MY CAR

Will Win:          Sian Heder, CODA (PCI 2)

Overlooked:    David Lowery, THE GREEN KNIGHT

 

Best Original Screenplay:

 

Paul Thomas Anderson, LICORICE PIZZA

Zach Baylin, KING RICHARD

Kenneth Branagh, BELFAST

Adam McKay, David Sirota, DON'T LOOK UP

Eskil Vogt, Joachim Trier, THE WORST PERSON IN THE WORLD

 

DON’T LOOK UP won the WGA’s original screenplay, and I suspect it’s more for being an allegory for the climate disaster than for any skill in tone or storytelling.  I did not like it, so I may have a blind side here when I suggest that Paul Thomas Anderson could win for his rollicking LICORICE PIZZA.  There’s a better chance that Kenneth Branagh will win for his memoir BELFAST, which the Academy® could reward here, thus preventing it from otherwise getting shut out.  All that said, I would pick Eskil Vogt and Joachim Trier’s breezy yet insightful and moving THE WORST PERSON IN THE WORLD as my favorite nominated original script.  For a more detailed discussion of the original screenplays, check out this year’s Oscar®-themed ON THE PAGE podcast with screenwriting teacher Pilar Alessandra, writer and podcaster Alexander Troxel, the inimitable Michael Musa, and me.

 

Should Win:     Eskil Vogt, Joachim Trier, THE WORST PERSON IN THE

                                                                    WORLD

Will Win:          Kenneth Branagh, BELFAST (PCI 2)

Overlooked:    Michael Sarnoski, Vanessa Block, PIG

 

Best Animated Film

 

ENCANTO

FLEE

LUCA

THE MITCHELLS VS THE MACHINES

RAYA AND THE LAST DRAGON

 

I was not able to see THE MITCHELLS VS THE MACHINES, and I’ve heard good things.  Of the others my hands down choice would be FLEE, an animated documentary about the trials of an Afghan refugee, that surprised and moved me more than any of the others.  The prize will go to ENCANTO, which, like the remaining choices, suffers from middlebrow choices and cloying uplift rather than true emotional insight.

 

Should Win:     FLEE

Will Win:          ENCANTO (PCI 3)

 

Best International Film

 

DRIVE MY CAR (Japan)

FLEE (Denmark)

THE HAND OF GOD (Italy)

LUNANA: A YAK IN THE CLASSROOM (Bhutan)

THE WORST PERSON IN THE WORLD (Norway)

 

I did not see LUNANA, and THE HAND OF GOD was a bit of a mess.  FLEE and THE WORST PERSON IN THE WORLD are exceptional films and have the potential to win in any year in which they’re not competing against DRIVE MY CAR.  Unfortunately for them, they are.

 

Should and Will Win:   DRIVE MY CAR (PCI 5)

 

Best Documentary Feature

 

ASCENSION

ATTICA

FLEE

SUMMER OF SOUL (OR, WHEN THE REVOLUTION COULD NOT BE TELEVISED)

WRITING WITH FIRE

 

Of the nominated films I was only able to see FLEE and SUMMER OF SOUL.  I have heard exceptional things about ATTICA.  It would be hard for me to pick a favorite of the two I have seen, but since I already lauded FLEE, I’m going to go with SUMMER OF SOUL.  Which will also win.

 

Should and Will Win:   SUMMER OF SOUL (OR, WHEN THE REVOLUTION COULD NOT BE TELEVISED) (PCI 4)

 

Best Cinematography

 

Bruno Delbonnel, THE TRAGEDY OF MACBETH

Greig Fraser, DUNE

Janusz Kaminski, WEST SIDE STORY

Dan Laustsen, NIGHTMARE ALLEY

Ari Wegner, THE POWER OF THE DOG

 

The nominees in this category are uniformly excellent and quite varied in look.  Grieg Fraser will likely win for DUNE, but my personal favorite is Ari Wegner’s work in THE POWER OF THE DOG.

 

Should Win:     Ari Wegner, THE POWER OF THE DOG

Will Win:          Greig Fraser, DUNE (PC 3)

 

Best Film Editing

 

Hank Corwin, DON’T LOOK UP

Myron Kerstein, Andrew Weisblum, TICK, TICK… BOOM!

Pamela Martin, KING RICHARD

Peter Sciberras, THE POWER OF THE DOG

Joe Walker, DUNE

 

DUNE will be cleaning up in most of the technical categories, and Joe Walker is favored to win.  I find that disappointing, since the film’s pace was uninvolving and too slow (especially for a science fiction epic).  Peter Sciberras’s pace in THE POWER OF THE DOG is also slow but better suits the material.  It deserves the prize.

 

Should Win:     Peter Sciberras, THE POWER OF THE DOG

Will Win:          Joe Walker, DUNE (PC 3)

 

Best Costume Design

 

Jenny Beavan, CRUELLA

Massimo Cantini Parrini, Jacqueline Durran, CYRANO

Luis Sequeira, NIGHTMARE ALLEY

Paul Tazewell, WEST SIDE STORY

Jacqueline West, Robert Morgan, DUNE

 

Jenny Beavan will likely win for CRUELLA, but I’d much prefer Paul Tazewell receive the nod for WEST SIDE STORY.

 

Should Win:     Paul Tazewell, WEST SIDE STORY

Will Win:          Jenny Beavan, CRUELLA (PC 3)

 

Best Production Design

 

DUNE

NIGHTMARE ALLEY

THE POWER OF THE DOG

THE TRAGEDY OF MACBETH

WEST SIDE STORY

 

DUNE will continue its near sweep of the technical awards.  Its world building is impressive, but a better choice would be NIGHTMARE ALLEY.  Its production design oozes despair and paranoia.

 

Should Win:     NIGHTMARE ALLEY

Will Win:          DUNE (PC 4)

 

Best Original Score

 

Nicholas Britell, DON’T LOOK UP

Germaine Franco, ENCANTO

Jonny Greenwood, THE POWER OF THE DOG

Alberto Iglesias, PARALLEL MOTHERS

Hans Zimmer, DUNE

 

I know many folks who rave about Hans Zimmer’s score for DUNE.  I felt like I’d heard it before, but I’m in the minority.  Jonny Greenwood’s disturbing score for THE POWER OF THE DOG sounds like an organic part of the landscape.

 

Should Win:     Jonny Greenwood, THE POWER OF THE DOG

Will Win:          Hans Zimmer, DUNE (PC 3)

 

Best Original Song

 

“Be Alive,” KING RICHARD

“Dos Oruguitas,” ENCANTO

“Down to Joy,” BELFAST

“No Time to Die,” NO TIME TO DIE

“Somehow You Do,” FOUR GOOD DAYS

 

I saw four of the nominated movies, but I only recall the nominated song from “No Time to Die,” because, well, it’s the title track.  I think it will win, though “Dos Oruguitas” from ENCANTO may squeak out a victory.

 

Should and Will Win:   “No Time to Die,” NO TIME TO DIE (PC 2)

 

Best Sound

 

BELFAST

DUNE

NO TIME TO DIE

THE POWER OF THE DOG

WEST SIDE STORY

 

Normally I would predict the musical (if there is one) to win in this category. However, since they merged Sound Mixing and Sound Editing into Best Sound, that formula is less reliable.  Once more DUNE is the likely winner, but THE POWER OF THE DOG’s was a more spare, provocative soundscape.

 

Should Win:     THE POWER OF THE DOG

Will Win:          DUNE (PC 4)

 

Best Visual Effects

 

DUNE

FREE GUY

NO TIME TO DIE

SHANG-CHI AND THE LEGEND OF THE TEN RINGS

SPIDER-MAN: NO WAY HOME

 

Finally, DUNE wins an award I think it deserves.

 

Should and Will Win:   DUNE (PC 4)

 

Best Makeup

 

COMING 2 AMERICA

CRUELLA

DUNE

HOUSE OF GUCCI

THE EYES OF TAMMY FAYE

 

HOUSE OF GUCCI was nominated for Jared Leto’s stunt appearance.  Ridiculous and pointless.  Tammy Faye Baker was known for her makeup, and THE EYES OF TAMMY FAYE takes her and her makeup seriously.

 

Should and Will Win:   THE EYES OF TAMMY FAYE (PC 4)

 

Best Documentary Short Subject

 

AUDIBLE

LEAD ME HOME

THE QUEEN OF BASKETBALL

THREE SONGS FOR BENAZIR

WHEN WE WERE BULLIES

 

A wild guess.

 

Will Win:          THE QUEEN OF BASKETBALL (PC 3)

 

Best Animated Short Subject

 

AFFAIRS OF THE ART

BESTIA

BOXBALLET

ROBIN ROBIN

THE WINDSHIELD WIPER

 

Another wild guess.

 

Will Win:          ROBIN ROBIN (PC 2)

 

Best Live Action Short Subject

 

ALA KACHUU – TAKE AND RUN

THE DRESS

THE LONG GOODBYE

ON MY MIND

PLEASE HOLD

 

One last wild guess.

 

Will Win:          THE LONG GOODBYE (PC 3)